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sling58
11-07-2007, 07:59 PM
m0ef0e usually has this started by now. So just in case he doesn't show up I thought I would go ahead and post it.

Atl @ Car-Car wins: Carolina won't lose at home this week.
Min @ GB- Vikes win: The spread says that GB will win but I am going with the Vikes. GB can't win all their games and I think Adrian will continue to run amock
Den @ KC-KC wins: I will pick KC. We can't lose again at home this year.
Buf @ Mia-Buff wins: Mia goes 0-9
Stl @ NO-NO wins: STL goes 0-9 also
Cle @ Pit-Pitt wins: Pittsburgh hurts the Browns like they did the Ravens
Jac @ Ten-Tennessee beats the Jags
Phi @ Was-Wash wins: Philly will continue to suffer this week.
Cin @ Balt- Whos doing worse? The Ravens are. Bengals get a win
Det @ Ari- Lions win: the spread calls for the Cards but I dont think they will beat the Lions this year.
Dal @ NYG- It will be a great game but I think the Cowboys stop the Giants winning streak. Dallas wins.
Chi @ Oak- Chicago
Indy @ SD- Indy lost last week. They remember ciming into this week and we see the not-so-good Chargers show up this week. Indy wins.
SF @ Sea-Hawks pull out a win.

m0ef0e, hope I didn't offend you for posting this first.

hermhater
11-07-2007, 08:02 PM
I've been embarrassed too many times to continue to make picks.

This season has been such a freak of nature, I can't get over .500...

rbedgood
11-07-2007, 09:18 PM
HH...I agree, my picks have been right around .500 most of the season.

hermhater
11-08-2007, 12:11 AM
HH...I agree, my picks have been right around .500 most of the season.


Hey guy...

How did you get all that Arrowcash?

Last time I looked you gambled it all away in Let 'em Ride...

Looks like you have been playing Hold 'em in the Casino with Canada, admin, and me...

:sign0098:

m0ef0e
11-08-2007, 05:45 PM
Thanks, Sling. :sign0098: Here are my picks for this week:

DEN @ KC - KC - The donkeys are the worst team in the league at defending the rush while the Chiefs have not run the ball very well so far this year. With the foot injury to Johnson, the burden of running the football falls dually on the shoulders of Priest Holmes and Kolby Smith. If Priest looks like the same back he was a few years ago, it could be a long day for Denver.

The Chiefs are 3-0 vs. the AFC West at home under coach Herm Edwards. TE Tony Gonzalez is averaging 94.2 receiving yards per game in past four (377 total yards). Gonzalez posted his 21st 100-yard game of of his hall-of-fame career last week. Both teams will have the same QB's under center that they started the season with. Herm Edwards has not yet made the decision to go to the younger Croyle for a spark and Jay Cutler's concussion last week against Detroit has not been deemed serious enough to keep him out of this week's game against the Chiefs.

The Chiefs are 11-1 against AFC West foes at Arrowhead dating back to 2003, including a streak of eight consecutive wins. That streak ties Indianapolis for the longest active stretch of home division wins in the league. Kansas City began its home winning streak against AFC West foes with a 45-17 victory vs. Denver (12/19/04) and hasn’t lost at home to an AFC West foe since dropping a 34-31 decision vs. San Diego (11/28/04).

KC has already registered division road wins at San Diego and at Oakland this season and will be seeking to win its first three division contests of the year since winning five straight to begin the 2003 campaign. KC is 6-2 against division opponents under Herm Edwards, while Denver is 1-4 in its last five AFC West contests. The Chiefs are 15-5 at home since the start of the 2005 campaign, while Denver is 11-8 on the road over the same span.

Chiefs QB Damon Huard owns a 5-2 record as the Chiefs starter at Arrowhead. In those seven contests, he has connected on 133 of 201 throws (66.2%) for 1,631 yards with 10 TDs and just three INTs, numbers that translate into a 101.4 rating. Huard has produced a rating of 100.0 or better in all five of his victories as a starter at Arrowhead. Denver’s defense ranks 32nd in the league, permitting opposing passers to compile a 105.4 rating and has allowed the last six QBs it has faced to accumulate a 100.0+ rating game.

The Broncos have allowed 14 TD passes and have forced just two INTs in their last six contests, permitting a passer rating of 122.6 in those games. Denver has allowed 15 TD passes on the season. Only Cincinnati (20) and Cleveland (20) have permitted more. KC owns a 7-2 record under Huard in contests when he doesn’t suffer an INT, including all five of his home wins. Denver has forced six INTs in its three wins and owns no INTs in its five losses. Only four clubs own fewer INTs than the Broncos this season.

During the Chiefs four-game home winning streak against Denver, KC’s defense has limited the Broncos to a 76.3 composite passer rating, forcing five INTs and registering 9.0 sacks. The Chiefs have produced 63.6% (14.0 of 22.0) of their sacks at Arrowhead this season. Dating back to 2002, KC boasts a 24-2 (.923) record at home when it registers 2.0 or more sacks, including a pair of victories over the Broncos. Only seven teams have sacked opposing passers more frequently than Kansas City. The Chiefs are 30-4 (.882) at Arrowhead dating back to ‘95 when the club forces two or more INTs, including a perfect 4-0 mark vs. Denver. Kansas City has recorded a pair of pickoffs in four games this season and has limited opposing passers to a 77.3 rating through eight games.

RB Priest Holmes owns four 100-yard rushing games vs. Denver, his highest total against any foe as a member of the Chiefs. Holmes’ last 100-yard outing against the Broncos was a 26-carry, 151-yard, three-TD performance at Denver (9/12/04).

Kansas City will face a Denver defense that ranks 32nd in the league, allowing 161.5 rushing ypg. Dating back to 2002, the Broncos are 4-15 (.211) when permitting a 100-yard rusher, including a 1-3 mark in 2007. Denver has lost seven of its last eight contests when relinquishing two or more rushing TDs. Dating back to 2001, KC is 24-3 (.889) when scoring two or more rushing TDs at home, including 11 consecutive wins. Only Oakland (12) and Cincinnati (12) have allowed more runs of 20+ yards than Denver (11) this season.

KC has not permitted an individual 100-yard rusher in 26 of its last 27 contests at Arrowhead. The Broncos rank 13th in the NFL in rushing (114.9 ypg) and have benefited from a 100-yard performance by RB Travis Henry in two of their three victories in 2007.

The Chiefs are 14-5 (.737) against the Broncos at Arrowhead in regular season games played after November 1st.

BUF @ MIA - BUF - With wins in four of their last five games, the Bills have thrust themselves into the mix in the AFC playoff race while the Dolphins are still trying to get their first win of the season. In six games vs. Miami, WR Lee Evans has averaged 21.6 yards per catch (19 receptions, 410 yards) and has six TDs (most vs. any opponent). Evans had a season-best 165 yards last week, and has averaged 151.5 receiving yards in the past two games.

MIN @ GB - GB - Green Bay has won the past three matchups, including a 23-16 triumph in the Metrodome in Week 4. The Packers hold a 3-2 edge in the series since a 2004 playoff loss to the Vikings at Lambeau Field. The Vikings have the best rushing defense in the league and the worst passing defense while the Packers have the worst rushing offense and one of the NFL's best passing attacks with a good defense that is well-balanced. This is really a game of the Packers' strengths against the Vikings' weaknesses.

The Packers have won 11 of their last 12. WR Donald Driver has a reception in 88 consecutive games, the second-longest streak in team history (Sterling Sharpe, 103). DE Aaron Kampman has 24˝ sacks in the past 24 games, and has eight sacks in the past five against the Vikings.

Meanwhile, RB Adrian Peterson is the first rookie in NFL history with two games of 200-plus yards. He leads the league with 1,036 yards and is on pace for 2,072 yards, which would pass Eric Dickerson's rookie record (1,808). He also set the NFL record for rushing yards in a single game last week against San Diego with 296 yards on the ground, breaking the mark previously set by Jamal Lewis.

CLE @ PIT - PIT - The Browns haven't won four straight since 1994. Pittsburgh has won 13 of the past 14, including a 34-7 blowout at Cleveland in Week 1. In the Browns’ five wins, QB Derek Anderson has completed 95 of 149 passes (63.8 pct.) for 1,389 yards with 13 TDs, with just three interceptions and a 114.8 passer rating while Rothlesberger tied a franchise mark with five touchdown passes last week and aims for his 14th consecutive game with a TD pass.

This game will probably come down to defense as the Steelers boast one of the top defensive units in the league while the Browns are among the worst. The Steelers also have one of the premier rushing attacks in the league which enables them to control and manage the clock more effectively. Cleveland's offense has played well but they can't put up very many points if they don't have the ball very much.

STL @ NO - NO - The Saints are beginning to look impressive again after winning their last four in a row to bring themselves up to .500 after an 0-4 start to the 2007 campaign. The Rams have yet to get their first win of the season but they will be able to make use of Jackson again in their offense as he is back from his injury now. However, the Rams are obviously a reeling team while the Saints will be coming into this game with confidence and intensity, being only one game back from the division-leading Bucs in the NFC South. Drew Brees has completed 113 of 158 passes (71.5 pct.) for 1,246 yards with 11 TDs vs. 1 INT for 115.1 passer rating in past four games. When Brees has rating of 110-plus, his teams are 19-2 (.905).

JAC @ TEN - TEN - The Titans' defense now ranks
second overall. Over the past two weeks, it has allowed an average of just 213 total yards per game, while sacking the opposing quarterback 12 times and forcing four turnovers. Vince Young has a 13-7 (.650) record as a starter and has four rushing TDs in seven division games.

Jacksonville got destroyed by the Saints last week. Even though the Saints have turned their play around since the beginning of the season, there is no way they should have handled Jacksonville the way they did. It seems that the loss to the Colts may have hurt this team's confidence more than it should have.

PHI @ WAS - PHI - With the chances of defending their NFC East title just about vanished after Sunday's loss to Dallas, the Eagles must now focus on getting back into the NFC wild-card race. At 3-5, they trail the Lions by three games in the NFC with eight games to go and they can't afford any more losses if they hope to forge a serious run. Courtesy of its 5-3 record, Washington has positioned itself for a potential postseason run. A home loss to the Eagles, though, and the Redskins risk falling out of the picture with tough road games against Dallas and Tampa Bay up next. The 'skins barely scraped by the pretty much QB-less Jets last week by only three points. This is not impressive. Especially right after getting demolished by the Patriots they way they did.

The Eagles got schooled by the Cowboys last week but Donovan McNabb has won seven of his past nine starts against Washington, passing for 2,209 yards, 16 TDs and eight interceptions. If the Eagles can muster up some of what they showed in their 56-point, week 3 performance against Detroit, they could make it another embarassing weekend for the Redskins.

m0ef0e
11-08-2007, 05:47 PM
Here's the rest:

ATL @ CAR - ATL - Carolina has won four of the past five, including a Week 3 matchup in Atlanta. Aside from the immediate goal of winning their first road and divisional game of the year, the Falcons actually have more on the line. Unlikely though it may seem, they still have an outside shot to contend in the NFC South if they can string some wins together. A win over Carolina would put Atlanta at 3-6 with three of their next four games at home, and their only road game in that stretch is against the winless Rams. For Carolina, the importance of this game is clear. First, the Panthers need to prove they can win at home after losing their first three at Bank of America Stadium this year, and, secondly, they can jump back into a tie for the NFC South lead with a victory. In their week 3 meeting, Harrington had 361 yards with two touchdowns and a 110.1 passer rating in a losing effort. However, when Harrington has a 95-plus rating, his teams are 9-2 (.818) and for some reason, the Panthers just can't seem to win at home this year. Call it the road-advantage, I guess.

CIN @ BAL - CIN - Really who will suck worse? The Ravens' offense or the Bengals' defense? This will be a fairly interesting game when the Bengals' offense is on the field matching-up against that tough Ravens' defense but those with the Sunday Ticket will probably be flipping over to another game when these two teams bring their floundering units onto the field. The Bengals have won five of the past six, including in Week 2 on Monday Night Football, when the Bengals beat the Ravens 27-20.

CHI @ OAK - OAK - The Bears are threatening to become the sixth Super Bowl loser in the last seven seasons to miss the playoffs the year after playing in the NFL's championship game. The Raiders might have the best chance of shutting down standout return man Devin Hester, who has eight career touchdown returns. Oakland kicker, Sebastian Janikowski, leads the NFL with 18 touchbacks, and punter Shane Lechler is tied for the NFL lead with a 50.3 punting average. The Bears' defense has shown a vulnerability to the run this season. If they can't correct this, the Bears are likely to have trouble in the black hole against a Raiders' rushing attack that will be spear-headed by Fargas this week. The Raiders currently boast an NFL-ranking of fourth in rushing offense.

DET @ ARI - DET - Detroit is keeping pace in the NFC North at only one game behind the 7-1 Green Bay Packers. The NFC West has fallen into the cellar again this year with the only team in the division at .500 or better being the Seattle Seahawks. The Lions are one of the best in the league in forcing turnovers and their offense has been formidable this season. Kurt Warner has played well with 1,225 yards, eight touchdowns and three interceptions. However, that interception tally may grow some after playing the Lions this week.

DAL @ NYG - NYG - The Cowboys won the last game of this series in a shoot-out in the season opener this year. However, the Giants have since turned their season around after an 0-2 start. Especially defensively. The Giants are the fifth team in NFL history to win six consecutive games after an 0-2 start and have climbed the ladder defensively to sit at an NFL-ranking of 7th in total yards allowed per game. Dallas leads the NFC in points scored (265) and total offense (406 yards per game). This will be a good one.

IND @ SD - IND - The Colts are 3-1 against the Chargers since that fateful day when Indy drafted Peyton Manning with the No. 1 overall pick and the Chargers opted for Ryan Leaf with the No. 2 overall selection in the 1998 draft. The Colts need to rebound strong from their loss to the Patriots. Not just for their own psyche, but to help keep pace from the hard-charging Steelers, who looked impressive on Monday night and will challenge for a first-round bye. The Chargers were gouged on the ground last week by the rookie, Adrian Peterson, for an NFL-record 296 yards. Peterson also rushed for three scores. Last week, Colts' running back, Joseph Addai, became the first player in club history with more than 100 rushing and 100 receiving yards in the same game. The Chargers have stated their embarrassment for their performance last week but the Colts are one of the hardest teams to try and get better against immediately after a crushing defeat.

SF @ SEA - SEA - San Francisco has won two of the past three, but that one loss came in a Week 4 matchup at Bill Walsh Field at Monster Park, in which Matt Hasselbeck threw for 281 yards and a pair of touchdowns in the Seahawks' 23-3 victory. The 49ers' two-game winning streak to open the season seems like a distant memory. Despite losing three of their past four, the Seahawks lead the NFC West, but they would not be considered one of the top teams in the NFC by any stretch of the imagination. The 49ers are 5-0 when QB Alex Smith has a 95-plus passer rating. Smith has two games against the Seahawks with a 100-plus rating. QB Matt Hasselbeck is 7-2 as a starter against the 49ers.

McLovin
11-08-2007, 05:49 PM
Chiefs over Broncos,

Bears over Raiders,

OOOH yeah

Indy over SD.

Are there other games?

rbedgood
11-09-2007, 12:07 AM
Thanks, Sling. :sign0098: Here are my picks for this week:

DEN @ KC - KC - The donkeys are the worst team in the league at defending the rush while the Chiefs have not run the ball very well so far this year. With the foot injury to Johnson, the burden of running the football falls dually on the shoulders of Priest Holmes and Kolby Smith. If Priest looks like the same back he was a few years ago, it could be a long day for Denver.

The Chiefs are 3-0 vs. the AFC West at home under coach Herm Edwards. TE Tony Gonzalez is averaging 94.2 receiving yards per game in past four (377 total yards). Gonzalez posted his 21st 100-yard game of of his hall-of-fame career last week. Both teams will have the same QB's under center that they started the season with. Herm Edwards has not yet made the decision to go to the younger Croyle for a spark and Jay Cutler's concussion last week against Detroit has not been deemed serious enough to keep him out of this week's game against the Chiefs.

The Chiefs are 11-1 against AFC West foes at Arrowhead dating back to 2003, including a streak of eight consecutive wins. That streak ties Indianapolis for the longest active stretch of home division wins in the league. Kansas City began its home winning streak against AFC West foes with a 45-17 victory vs. Denver (12/19/04) and hasn’t lost at home to an AFC West foe since dropping a 34-31 decision vs. San Diego (11/28/04).

KC has already registered division road wins at San Diego and at Oakland this season and will be seeking to win its first three division contests of the year since winning five straight to begin the 2003 campaign. KC is 6-2 against division opponents under Herm Edwards, while Denver is 1-4 in its last five AFC West contests. The Chiefs are 15-5 at home since the start of the 2005 campaign, while Denver is 11-8 on the road over the same span.

Chiefs QB Damon Huard owns a 5-2 record as the Chiefs starter at Arrowhead. In those seven contests, he has connected on 133 of 201 throws (66.2%) for 1,631 yards with 10 TDs and just three INTs, numbers that translate into a 101.4 rating. Huard has produced a rating of 100.0 or better in all five of his victories as a starter at Arrowhead. Denver’s defense ranks 32nd in the league, permitting opposing passers to compile a 105.4 rating and has allowed the last six QBs it has faced to accumulate a 100.0+ rating game.

The Broncos have allowed 14 TD passes and have forced just two INTs in their last six contests, permitting a passer rating of 122.6 in those games. Denver has allowed 15 TD passes on the season. Only Cincinnati (20) and Cleveland (20) have permitted more. KC owns a 7-2 record under Huard in contests when he doesn’t suffer an INT, including all five of his home wins. Denver has forced six INTs in its three wins and owns no INTs in its five losses. Only four clubs own fewer INTs than the Broncos this season.

During the Chiefs four-game home winning streak against Denver, KC’s defense has limited the Broncos to a 76.3 composite passer rating, forcing five INTs and registering 9.0 sacks. The Chiefs have produced 63.6% (14.0 of 22.0) of their sacks at Arrowhead this season. Dating back to 2002, KC boasts a 24-2 (.923) record at home when it registers 2.0 or more sacks, including a pair of victories over the Broncos. Only seven teams have sacked opposing passers more frequently than Kansas City. The Chiefs are 30-4 (.882) at Arrowhead dating back to ‘95 when the club forces two or more INTs, including a perfect 4-0 mark vs. Denver. Kansas City has recorded a pair of pickoffs in four games this season and has limited opposing passers to a 77.3 rating through eight games.

RB Priest Holmes owns four 100-yard rushing games vs. Denver, his highest total against any foe as a member of the Chiefs. Holmes’ last 100-yard outing against the Broncos was a 26-carry, 151-yard, three-TD performance at Denver (9/12/04).

Kansas City will face a Denver defense that ranks 32nd in the league, allowing 161.5 rushing ypg. Dating back to 2002, the Broncos are 4-15 (.211) when permitting a 100-yard rusher, including a 1-3 mark in 2007. Denver has lost seven of its last eight contests when relinquishing two or more rushing TDs. Dating back to 2001, KC is 24-3 (.889) when scoring two or more rushing TDs at home, including 11 consecutive wins. Only Oakland (12) and Cincinnati (12) have allowed more runs of 20+ yards than Denver (11) this season.

KC has not permitted an individual 100-yard rusher in 26 of its last 27 contests at Arrowhead. The Broncos rank 13th in the NFL in rushing (114.9 ypg) and have benefited from a 100-yard performance by RB Travis Henry in two of their three victories in 2007.

The Chiefs are 14-5 (.737) against the Broncos at Arrowhead in regular season games played after November 1st.

BUF @ MIA - BUF - With wins in four of their last five games, the Bills have thrust themselves into the mix in the AFC playoff race while the Dolphins are still trying to get their first win of the season. In six games vs. Miami, WR Lee Evans has averaged 21.6 yards per catch (19 receptions, 410 yards) and has six TDs (most vs. any opponent). Evans had a season-best 165 yards last week, and has averaged 151.5 receiving yards in the past two games.

MIN @ GB - GB - Green Bay has won the past three matchups, including a 23-16 triumph in the Metrodome in Week 4. The Packers hold a 3-2 edge in the series since a 2004 playoff loss to the Vikings at Lambeau Field. The Vikings have the best rushing defense in the league and the worst passing defense while the Packers have the worst rushing offense and one of the NFL's best passing attacks with a good defense that is well-balanced. This is really a game of the Packers' strengths against the Vikings' weaknesses.

The Packers have won 11 of their last 12. WR Donald Driver has a reception in 88 consecutive games, the second-longest streak in team history (Sterling Sharpe, 103). DE Aaron Kampman has 24˝ sacks in the past 24 games, and has eight sacks in the past five against the Vikings.

Meanwhile, RB Adrian Peterson is the first rookie in NFL history with two games of 200-plus yards. He leads the league with 1,036 yards and is on pace for 2,072 yards, which would pass Eric Dickerson's rookie record (1,808). He also set the NFL record for rushing yards in a single game last week against San Diego with 296 yards on the ground, breaking the mark previously set by Jamal Lewis.

CLE @ PIT - PIT - The Browns haven't won four straight since 1994. Pittsburgh has won 13 of the past 14, including a 34-7 blowout at Cleveland in Week 1. In the Browns’ five wins, QB Derek Anderson has completed 95 of 149 passes (63.8 pct.) for 1,389 yards with 13 TDs, with just three interceptions and a 114.8 passer rating while Rothlesberger tied a franchise mark with five touchdown passes last week and aims for his 14th consecutive game with a TD pass.

This game will probably come down to defense as the Steelers boast one of the top defensive units in the league while the Browns are among the worst. The Steelers also have one of the premier rushing attacks in the league which enables them to control and manage the clock more effectively. Cleveland's offense has played well but they can't put up very many points if they don't have the ball very much.

STL @ NO - NO - The Saints are beginning to look impressive again after winning their last four in a row to bring themselves up to .500 after an 0-4 start to the 2007 campaign. The Rams have yet to get their first win of the season but they will be able to make use of Jackson again in their offense as he is back from his injury now. However, the Rams are obviously a reeling team while the Saints will be coming into this game with confidence and intensity, being only one game back from the division-leading Bucs in the NFC South. Drew Brees has completed 113 of 158 passes (71.5 pct.) for 1,246 yards with 11 TDs vs. 1 INT for 115.1 passer rating in past four games. When Brees has rating of 110-plus, his teams are 19-2 (.905).

JAC @ TEN - TEN - The Titans' defense now ranks
second overall. Over the past two weeks, it has allowed an average of just 213 total yards per game, while sacking the opposing quarterback 12 times and forcing four turnovers. Vince Young has a 13-7 (.650) record as a starter and has four rushing TDs in seven division games.

Jacksonville got destroyed by the Saints last week. Even though the Saints have turned their play around since the beginning of the season, there is no way they should have handled Jacksonville the way they did. It seems that the loss to the Colts may have hurt this team's confidence more than it should have.

PHI @ WAS - PHI - With the chances of defending their NFC East title just about vanished after Sunday's loss to Dallas, the Eagles must now focus on getting back into the NFC wild-card race. At 3-5, they trail the Lions by three games in the NFC with eight games to go and they can't afford any more losses if they hope to forge a serious run. Courtesy of its 5-3 record, Washington has positioned itself for a potential postseason run. A home loss to the Eagles, though, and the Redskins risk falling out of the picture with tough road games against Dallas and Tampa Bay up next. The 'skins barely scraped by the pretty much QB-less Jets last week by only three points. This is not impressive. Especially right after getting demolished by the Patriots they way they did.

The Eagles got schooled by the Cowboys last week but Donovan McNabb has won seven of his past nine starts against Washington, passing for 2,209 yards, 16 TDs and eight interceptions. If the Eagles can muster up some of what they showed in their 56-point, week 3 performance against Detroit, they could make it another embarassing weekend for the Redskins.

Wow...I'm impressed, great points...

Chiefster
11-09-2007, 12:14 AM
Wow...I'm impressed, great points...

m0efoe is among our more intelligent members.

hermhater
11-09-2007, 12:20 AM
Wow...I'm impressed, great points...


m0efoe is among our more intelligent members.

Agreed!

I am a tech and ask for his help with computers.

Dude knows his fooball too!
:sign0098:

Chiefster
11-09-2007, 12:23 AM
Agreed!

I am a tech and ask for his help with computers.

Dude knows his fooball too!
:sign0098:


He is da man!