Really? Eric Fisher was the BPA in the entire draft?
I would be fine with Murray. In fact, I hope we trade down and pick him up in the second.
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Smith's agent (I forget his name but I think it sounds a lot like condom) has a reputation as a real viper. I would be truly shocked if Smith was being real stubborn. I'm inclined to believe that as he said in an interview Smith has simply turned all negotiations over to his agent and will not interfere.......unless he feels that his career in KC is truly in jeopardy. I REALLY doubt Smith wants to go to ANOTHER new team and learn ANOTHER coach's way of running a West Coast Offense. Smith wants the biggest contract he can get, and I can't blame him. But I don't think he would want to go elsewhere over $7-$10 million over 5 years. I mean....if in the last 5 years of your career you are going to get $60 million or so is it really worth moving to yet another city for an extra $7-$10 million?
My real concern is that right now based realistically on 1/2 a season, it he really worth somewhere around $12 million per year? If the last half of last season is the "REAL" Alex Smith" then I say "PAY THE MAN!" But I'm not convinced Smith is as good as he looked for the last 1/2 of last season--at least not enough that as a GM I would be willing to bet a 5 year--$60-$80 million contract on him with probably something like $35-$40 million guaranteed. I'm betting that the real sticking point in the negotiations is how much of the contract is guaranteed.
And one he didn't expect I'll bet.
Yes, there is hope for Fisher, since he showed marked improvement over the last 5 games he played in & when I compare that to Branden Albert's last 5 games in 2010 when he gave up 9 sacks in his THIRD season, then yes, that tells me there is hope for Fisher. The question is weather Fisher can stay healthy and not get dinged up like last season. The 2013 Chiefs draft class got bit harder by the injury bug more so than any Chiefs rookie class I've ever seen in 4+ decades and nobody could have foreseen that.
Fisher will become a starter on this team. I'm pretty confident about that. As #1 picks overall he is disappointing. But as #1 pick overall in last years draft I think he was worthwhile given that we pretty much knew Branden Albert was gone this year. We had the bad luck to get the #1 pick overall in a very weak draft class. IMO had there been a really great WR in last year's class he would be a Chief today and Fisher would be elsewhere. But there was no "sure thing WR" last year, so we got Fisher.
People argue a lot about BPA vs "need" but I don't think it is quite as black and white, right or wrong as that. I think that in the first 2 or 3 rounds you look at BPA, match that list against "need" and then make a decision. For example if in round #1 you look at players available when you go "on the clock" and the BPA (in your estimation) matches your #4 most important need but the #2 BPA available matched your #1 "need" then you go with the #2 BPA. Generally you multiply "need" X BPA and you go with the lowest number. Yes, that is simplistic, but it is a "general format" for rounds 1-3.
For rounds 4 onwards you go purely with BPA on the theory that if they turn into a solid player but you don't "need" that position you can trade them off for a similar draft pick to what you paid for them.
Anyway, that is how I would do it if I was a GM.....THANK GOD I'M NOT! The ulcers would kill me in a month.
There is a lot of "voodoo", "gut feeling" and plain old fashioned "horse sense" involved in who to draft.
And while you are at it, you can print out those PFF stats and if you run out of toilet paper then that printed stats page will come in handy, because about all it's really worth.
PFF ratings regarding O-Lineman are worthless garbage and don't support your "He was bad throughout the year" statement at all & I know it's complete BS, because I watched Fisher closely in his last 5 games via NFL Game Rewind. The Buffalo game was pretty good, as well. The fact that you'd use PFF as a reference only tells me that you didn't watch Fisher closely at all.
You're starting to sound like you crapped in your diaper when the selection of Fisher was announced and your mommy hasn't changed it for you since then.
You do no that happened AFTER the draft don't you? Before that happened Dorsey felt he was the BPA thinking long term. He might be he might now like any draft you just have to wait and see. It wasn't a draft that one would say was loaded with stars. That's the thing people who complain about the Fisher pick ignore. Who exactly was the all star prospect that we passed up? It's one of the questions I've asked this offseason that hasn't been answered.
Fisher was a rookie last year. OF COURSE he's going to struggle. He was also playing a new position it just wasn't a recipe for success. I've said this offseason I don't really like how they are handling Fisher. They drafted him changed his position and just when he was showing improvement at that spot they are saying forget all that lets go back to LT.IMO I think they are setting him up to fail. But we shall see.
No one said he was great at the end of the year. But would you agree he got better? IMO he showed improvement. And as a rookie that's about what you would expect. This offseason he has added some weight so he's not going to be as easy to push over and a year under his belt I'm looking forward to seeing him in the preseason. Hopeing that my concerns about him are laid to rest.