I like my buddy "@FantasyDouche" on Twitter's theory:
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I think the Chiefs may have arbitraged our asses with the Chase Daniel signing.
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They basically signed a guy who probably has as much EV as the top QB in the draft, and didn't give up any draft picks to do it.
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The Chiefs got a guy who has a pretty similar resume to Geno, has NFL experience, they didn't give anything up
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Here's an explanation that I'm not saying is necessarily true, but fits all the facts.
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The Chiefs liked Chase Daniel and felt like there was a chance that he might be their guy. But they're not 100% confident.
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So they pick up Alex Smith as a hedge and give up a 2nd. and some other stuff that's conditional. But, if Daniel outplays Smith...
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Then the conditional picks go away, and the Chiefs still got a starting QB for only a 2nd round pick and salaries.
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And then even Alex Smith's salary is probably something that they could get away from after this year.
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Like I said, can't say that's what happened, but it does fit all of the facts.
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Also, Chase is almost as big as Geno, and they have similar college resumes (Geno threw less INTs though to be fair).
He also wrote an article about Chase Daniel's NFL comparables you can read here. In summary, he compares to:
Ben Roethlisberger
Andrew Luck
Kyle Orton
Philip Rivers
Matt Leinart
Kevin Kolb
Geno Smith