We will draft a qb in 4th or 5th rd
We will draft a qb in 4th or 5th rd
It probably depends on what the current administration truly feels about Tyler Bray. Although, drafting an elite QB prospect shouldn't be ruled out just because Bray has shown promise. A mobile QB is probably best suited in Andy Reid's system, which would seem to exclude a pocket passer like Tyler Bray. That's not to say that he wouldn't command a premium in another type of offense like the ones run in Arizon, Denver, New England, New Orleans, etc. Each of those franchises will be looking for replacements within the next few years and a guy like Bray who has sat behind a smart vet like Smith could command a high bounty.
The Chiefs will probably be picking in the bottom 5 in the first round. It's going to be really tough to pass on a guy like Manziel who seems to be the prototypical Andy Reid QB if he's still sitting there. I'm not saying that's the guy I would take to be my franchise QB. Personally, I've got more character concerns about him than I had about a couple QBs who came out this past year. But I'm not Andy Reid and I can see him taking a guy like Johnny if he was willing to sign a guy like Mike Vick. Who knows.
We need WR TE and o line first 3 picks
On your earlier analysis of Smith's lack of skill, I think he has more of an arm than he displays. He doesn't have a rocket arm (I'm assuming arm strength is you biggest knock on him), but he can get the ball downfield when he needs to and when it is there. The one play he is the most famous for in San Fran was a laser he threw downfield to Vernon Davis. When there is an opening, he has thrown it deep. I honestly believe (and it may be my rosť colored glasses) that he doesn't throw downfield because he is too afraid of turnovers, and isn't willing to risk deep throws unless there is a lot of space.
On Johnny Manziel ... please no. I don't like his attitude, and I don't think he is THAT good of a QB. My evaluation is based on only a couple of games, and I'm sure you have seen much more of him, but I don't think he is that good of a QB. He is AMAZING at eluding the pass rush and extending the play, but his actual ability to read defenses and put the ball where it needs to be seems above average for a college QB at best. To me it seems like he waits until the DBs break down their coverage and heaves the ball up. I would want a 1st round pick QB to be better at picking apart defenses. Then again, maybe his OL sucks and his receivers suck at getting open.
Smith's lack of arm strength is the cause of a few other weaknesses that show up in his game. Because he doesn't think he can fit it into a smaller than a wide open hole, it leads to him holding onto the ball too long, which leads to sacks and pressure on the O-line and the Chiefs defense. Over the last few weeks, we've also seen him miss completely wide open receivers. You say he can hit the receiver downfield when he's open, but recent history would seem to prove otherwise. He's only completing 59% of his throws with only 9 TDs on the season through 8 games.
Is Alex Smith capable of winning with this team? Obviously the answer is yes. Is he a guy who could win a Super Bowl with this team? It's definitely possible. But is he a guy you should be building a long-term pass-heavy offense around? There's just no way I could see any team justifying that.
Alex Smith is the guy who won't lose you a game while you feed the ball to your RBs 40x a game behind a dominating O-line and defense. That's what he is RIGHT NOW... except, they're not utilizing the running game enough. Andy Reid is NEVER going to be that coach. He wants to throw the ball all the time and he's relying on an average QB to do so.
I'm not trying to bash Alex. I'm just saying that he's probably not the guy 3 years from now for all the reasons I've stated.
Found this on youtube. Check out some of the throws.