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Thread: 2010 draft order and SOS

  1. #1
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    Default 2010 draft order and SOS


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    The first 20 spots are locked in, but the remaining slots can still change depending on the playoff results. Team record and strength of schedule (SOS) are in parentheses.


    1) St. Louis (1-15, .520)
    2) Detroit (2-14, .523)
    3) Tampa Bay (3-13, .555)
    4) Washington (4-12, .492)
    5) Kansas City (4-12, .516)
    6) Seattle (5-11, .477)
    7) Cleveland (5-11, .512)
    8) Oakland (5-11, .527)
    9) Buffalo (6-10, .516)
    10-11) Chicago (7-9, .496)
    10-11) Jacksonville (7-9, .496)
    12) Miami (7-9, .559)
    13) San Francisco (8-8, .477)
    14) Denver (8-8, .527)
    15) NY Giants (8-8, .535)
    16-17) Tennessee (8-8, .539)
    16-17) Carolina (8-8, .539)
    18) Pittsburgh (9-7, .488)
    19-20) Atlanta (9-7, .504)
    19-20) Houston (9-7, .504)


    Subject to Change:
    21) New York Jets (9-7, .516)
    22) Baltimore (9-7, .523)
    23) Arizona (10-6, .445)
    24) Cincinnati (10-6, .492)
    25) New England (10-6, .516)
    26) Green Bay (11-5, .441)
    27) Philadelphia (11-5, .484)
    28) Dallas (11-5, .488)
    29) Minnesota (12-4, .441)
    30) San Diego (13-3, .453)
    31) New Orleans (13-3, .426) [Super Bowl Loser]
    32) Indianapolis (14-2, .473) [Super Bowl Winner]


    The three ties will be decided by coin flip prior to the draft because all three involve teams from two different conferences.


    Tiebreaking Procedures


    The draft tiebreakers are as follows:

    1) Super Bowl Winner picks 32nd

    2) Super Bowl Loser picks 31st

    3) Teams are ranked in inverse order of their record. Ties count as a half win and half loss.

    4) A playoff team always picks after a non-playoff team with the same regular season record. If two playoff teams have the same regular season record, but one was eliminated in an earlier round, that team picks first.

    5) Ties are then broken using strength of schedule (average of all 16 opponent's winning percentage, divisionmates count twice since they were played twice. Or count the wins of all opponents, same result). Weaker schedule picks earlier.

    6) If SOS fails to break the tie, and the teams are in the same division, apply the division playoff tiebreakers (except the "loser" picks higher).

    7) If SOS fails to break the tie, the teams are not in the same division, but the teams are in the same conference, apply the conference playoff tiebreakers (except the "loser" picks higher).

    8) If the teams are still tied, or are in different conferences, a coin toss decides the order. If three teams are tied such that the tie can be broken as to two teams, but not between any of those two and a third team, the "loser" of the two-team tie flips against the other team first. A scenario where all three teams are stone tied is nearly impossible since there are only two conferences and intraconference tiebreakers go very deep before a coin flip.


    2009 NFL Strength of Schedule After Regular Season

    1) Miami (.559)
    2) Tampa Bay (.555)
    3) Carolina (.539)
    3) Tennessee (.539)
    5) NY Giants (.535)
    6) Denver (.527)
    6) Oakland (.527)
    8) Baltimore (.523)
    8) Detroit (.523)
    10) St. Louis (.520)
    11) NY Jets (.516)
    11) Kansas City (.516)
    11) Buffalo (.516)
    11) New England (.516)
    15) Cleveland (.512)
    16) Houston (.504)
    16) Atlanta (.504)
    18) Chicago (.496)
    18) Jacksonville (.496)
    20) Cincinnati (.492)
    20) Washington (.492)

    22) Dallas (.488)
    22) Pittsburgh (.488)
    24) Philadelphia (.484)
    25) San Francisco (.477)
    25) Seattle (.477)
    27) Indianapolis (.473)
    28) San Diego (.453)
    29) Arizona (.445)
    30) Green Bay (.441)
    30) Minnesota (.441)
    32) New Orleans (.426)

    We had a higher SOS then WAshington so why are they rafting 4th and not us?>> Feel free to copy and paste and add your mock draft to this..

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    Quote Originally Posted by Coach View Post
    5. KC - OT. The Chiefs still have an anemic pass rush and could look to take a NT, LB, or even a Safety at this spot. But Brian Waters isn't getting any younger and the Chiefs need help everywhere on the OL. The Chiefs backed the money truck up to Matt Cassel's doorstep so look for them to protect their investment. If they could land a starting LT, they could move Branden Albert to RG, RT, or even LG. I think the Chiefs would also entertain the idea of trading down, but I'm going to assume nobody wants to trade into the Top 5 until we have a rookie salary cap.
    Pick: Russell Okung, Oklahoma State
    Do you really think Albert could move to Guard? He's already getting whipped by DE's at tackle, I don't see him being able to play with bigger DT's.

    I would rather see Berry taken here if he's available. The last 6 games KC only gave up 8 sacks (37 in the first 10) and Jamaal ran wild. I think there are bigger holes in the D.
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    Quote Originally Posted by Ryfo18 View Post
    Do you really think Albert could move to Guard? He's already getting whipped by DE's at tackle, I don't see him being able to play with bigger DT's.

    I would rather see Berry taken here if he's available. The last 6 games KC only gave up 8 sacks (37 in the first 10) and Jamaal ran wild. I think there are bigger holes in the D.
    Mel Kiper projected Albert to be a Pro Bowl caliber OG coming out of college, so I don't think the transition would be a problem for him. The Broncos used 290 lb OGs for years and had one of the best lines in the league.

    Albert and the rest of the line really improved in the 2nd half of the season though. The entire line only gave up 8 sacks in the last 6 games, compared to 37 in the first 10. So it will be interesting to see what they decide to do with Albert. Waters is certainly not getting any younger of course, so at least 1 OG should be drafted.

    With the improvement in the line in the 2nd half of the season, I'd prefer Berry, but certainly wouldn't have any issue with Okung either.

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    Looks like Shanahan is the new coach in Washington. He likes strong armed QB's and that leaves Bradford out. He could possible take Okung in the first and pick up some one like PIke later in the draft.
    Another name being thrown to us in the first is Haden, CB, FL. he's the top CB in the draft. Sub 4.4 speed and a super athletic.
    If Cody shows up at the Combine and has lost a few pounds and in shape look for his stock to rise.

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    If we cant get Berry or Okung, i say we should try to make a trade and pick up some more picks. Otherwise go with BRUCE CAMPBELL, OT....

    passing on Berry would be a mistake though!

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    Quote Originally Posted by KottkeKU View Post
    If we cant get Berry or Okung, i say we should try to make a trade and pick up some more picks. Otherwise go with BRUCE CAMPBELL, OT....

    passing on Berry would be a mistake though!


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    coach as far as SOS goes, just look at the list, most of those teams on the top lost a ton of games.

    What this means is that they influenced the SOS by LOSING so much, if you REALLY want to see what a schedule was like for a season, you would need to recalculate SOS and leave the team that it is being calculated for out of the percentage~

    same thing goes with winning teams, they influence the SOS number of the teams they beat down~

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    Quote Originally Posted by Canada View Post


    No thanks Bruce, I would rather listen to Frank Sinatra and Do It My Way.
    Chiefs in 2011

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    The SOS thing is always gonna look like that, with the high SOS scores being the teams that lost alot, and the low SOS scores being the teams won alot.

    There is always some variation involved. But that trend is always there, because the losing teams have to play the top three in their division twice, while not getting to play the worst in the division (themselves) at all.

    And most of the teams that they played have the advantage of gettinag a win, or two, against that team. Giving them a boost in record.

    And, of course, vice-versa.

    But it always interesting to look back and say, well, we did play a damn tough schedule. Which we definitely did.

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    I believe that Berry and or Okung will be there at 5 yes I said it both may just be there. If so I am leaninbg towards Berry seeing how all year the middle of our defense got torched. Our o-line got much better the 2nd half of the season. yes, Charles running helped. Teams couldnt just pin thier ears back and ruch the passer every down like they did with LJ in there.

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    If you can't get a elite S or ILB then you trade down if possible and pick up cheaper talent. If you go O Line then it should be a C.

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