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Thread: A Deeper Look Into Matt Cassel, and How He Compares w/ the League

  1. #1
    Member Since
    Sep 2008
    Posts
    2,962

    Default A Deeper Look Into Matt Cassel, and How He Compares w/ the League

    There has been a lot of debate regarding Matt Cassel recently. Last year, I was as big a supporter as anyone, defending him as often as possible. This year, I have changed my tone after watching him play. I have my reasons, but I am doing this study solely out of curiousity, and even I don't know the results as I write this post. I just have the data compiled into a spreadsheet (courtesy of ProFootballFocus.com).

    Three of the common arguments we hear are this:

    1.) Matt Cassel is not accurate enough.
    2.) Matt Cassel is cursed by dropped passes.
    3.) Matt Cassel is always under too much pressure to succeed.

    The data I have in front of me is simply 4 statistics for each team:

    1.) Drops
    2.) Pass Attempts (when a pass was actually thrown)
    2.) # of dropbacks where the quarterback saw pressure.
    3.) Total # of Dropbacks

    From these, it's easy to determine two percentages for every team:

    1.) The percentage of passes dropped (Drops/Attempts)
    2.) The percentage of times the quarterback faces pressure (Pressures/Dropbacks)

    Here's what I have found...

    The league average for percentage of passes dropped is 6.12%. The low is Buffalo (3.42%) and the high is St. Louis (9.04%). The Chiefs are in fact above average in drops at 7.61% (21 drops in 276 attempts). From a precentage standpoint, this is the 5th worst in the league. So we can without a doubt say, the Chiefs drop more passes than the rest of the league, on a per attempt basis.

    As far as pressures. The league average is that a quarterback will face pressure 32% of the time. The low is Tennessee (17.9%) and the high is Philadelphia (40.3%). The Chiefs are actually surprisingly below the league average (29.4%) and the 11th best in the league.

    So knowing this, what can I say about Matt Cassel? He has more passes dropped than the average QB, but also faces less pressure. How about his personal stats compared to other quarterbacks?

    CMP%: 59.5% (23rd)
    Yards/Attempt: 6.4 (26th)
    QB Rating: 76.6 (24th)

    You can look up other stats, but these are easy ones to relate on a per quarterback basis.

    My personal opinion of Matt Cassel is that he's serviceable, provided we have an awesome run game. I still think it is time for the Chiefs to spend a 1st round pick on a quarterback, and if anything, groom him to (hopefully) be our quarterback of the future. Matt Cassel, no matter the circumstances of dropped passes or protection, will most likely always be a below average NFL quarterback. Last year was impressive, but I can say without a doubt that it was against one of the easiest passing schedules, and our running game helped him out tremendously.

    I just hope this helps clear up confusion as to how many passes get dropped or how much pressure our quarterback is under.

  2. #41
    Member Since
    Sep 2007
    Posts
    2,246

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    Quote Originally Posted by Codac View Post
    When was the last time Priest was on the field? Thats when. lol
    It feels like it, but I know we had some nice screens last year with Charles. McCluster should be the perfect screen guy, but it's always so predictable since he's not an every down guy.
    C:\Users\Master Sin\Desktop\thumb_pl_180492.jpg

  3. #42
    Member Since
    Jan 2009
    Posts
    210

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    Quote Originally Posted by Three7s View Post
    It feels like it, but I know we had some nice screens last year with Charles. McCluster should be the perfect screen guy, but it's always so predictable since he's not an every down guy.
    Yeah. McCluster isn't used enough in my opinion. Or used right, at least.

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