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Thread: Which player in the draft scares you ?

  1. #1
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    Default Which player in the draft scares you ?


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    Which mid - late 1st / early 2nd round prospect would you hate for us to take at 23 ?

    I'm personally petrified that we'll go for Kelvin Benjamin if OBJ, Cooks & Lee are all gone by the time we pick. He is far too inconsistent, one spectacular catch will be followed up by 2 bad drops. We don't need another Jon Baldwin. If the 3 receivers mentioned are gone and Reid & Dorsey still want to go WR I'd much rather see us go for someone like Cody Latimer rather than Benjamin.

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    The one we draft based on need, VS best on the board. I don't want us taking the 4th WR off the board because that is considered a need when the best player available may be a LB, Corner or even QB. If that means move back and get the need later, than so be it, but I am not a fan of going back to far. We need this pick.

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    They ain't taking Benjamin and I hope they don't take any QB.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Seek View Post
    The one we draft based on need, VS best on the board. I don't want us taking the 4th WR off the board because that is considered a need when the best player available may be a LB, Corner or even QB. If that means move back and get the need later, than so be it, but I am not a fan of going back to far. We need this pick.
    I have a real problem with this strategy. First of all, how do you even determine who the Best Player Available is? Do you add up the cumulative rankings of 20 "expert" NFL analysts to come up with a score for each player? Is there a formula for adding combine 40 yd dash, bench press, standing broad jump, etc + Wonderlick test score to determine an overall score? And how do you rank players that didn't attend the combine? How do you rank players at very different positions? Does one sack = X catches, or is 100 yds rushing equal to X number of tackles? Is there a conversion chart online somewhere?

    I doubt that you could get Phil Emery, John Dorsey and Scott Pioli to agree on who is the 23 best player in the draft, let alone get a consensus from all 32 GMs on who is the BPA for every pick in the draft. So the BPA is a myth to begin with. It is whoever any given GM thinks it is when it is his turn to pick. But let's assume, for the sake of argument, that you can assign a rank for all 274 (not including supplemental picks) players in the draft.

    The Bears had the 2nd best offense and the 2nd worst defense in the NFL last year. Suppose every time it is their turn to pick, the BPA is an offensive player. Should the Bears take an offensive player with every pick and ignore the glaring needs on their horrid defense knowing that none of those picks are likely to start? Ignoring the needs on their aging defense is what got them into this position in the first place. Or let's take it to another extreme. Suppose, because the other 31 teams keep passing on them, every time it is the Chiefs turn to pick, the BPA is a QB. Would you seriously be happy going into training camp with 9 QBs on the roster having done nothing to improve the defense, O-line or WR positions?

    If a player falls and he is clearly much better than any other player on the board then it makes sense to take him. But if the Chiefs are on the clock with the 23rd pick and the two best players are a QB you had ranked at 17 and a FS you had ranked at 19 you have to take the FS because he makes the team better. The FS would be likely to start from day one and the QB would only be a back-up.

    What you are looking for with each draft pick is value. The BPA may have the most value to the team but the 3rd or 4th best may make a bigger impact on improving the team than the BPA in many cases. You don't want to "reach" on a player just because you are desperate to fill a position of need. That can be disastrous. But by the same token, you don't want to always take the BPA if that player does nothing to make your team better. That would be equally disastrous.
    Last edited by TopekaRoy; 05-07-2014 at 12:18 PM.
    ***Official Chiefs Crowd Game Thread Starter***

    Originally Posted by Name Withheld
    I don't think anything that's what wrong is nearly Smiths Falls we have no offense of line I think the coaches are free to call certain place I think he would absolutely do better with a different office of coordinator

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    TR, you make good points & John Dorsey will have a pool of players on his draft board when it comes the Chiefs turn to draft and in his own words "will draft the best player that is the best fit for the KC Chiefs".

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    Quote Originally Posted by brdempsey69 View Post
    TR, you make good points & John Dorsey will have a pool of players on his draft board when it comes the Chiefs turn to draft and in his own words "will draft the best player that is the best fit for the KC Chiefs".
    Thanks for correcting me. I said "Glenn Dorsey." That was a different guy altogether!

    You make another point that I failed to mention. You want players that are good fits for your offensive or defensive schemes. That varies from team to team.
    Last edited by TopekaRoy; 05-07-2014 at 12:23 PM.
    ***Official Chiefs Crowd Game Thread Starter***

    Originally Posted by Name Withheld
    I don't think anything that's what wrong is nearly Smiths Falls we have no offense of line I think the coaches are free to call certain place I think he would absolutely do better with a different office of coordinator

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    Quote Originally Posted by TopekaRoy View Post
    Thanks for correcting me. I said "Glenn Dorsey." That was a different guy altogether!

    You make another point that I failed to mention. You want players that are good fits for your offensive or defensive schemes. That varies from team to team.
    Precisely why I posted that thread with the vid of Brandin Cooks. He DOES fit Andy Reid's Offense.

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    Any player who rises dramatically during the process. So, that includes Cody Latimer, Derek Carr, etc.

    Anyone labelled a physical freak without the production to back it up. I'm reading Rashede Hageman might fall in that category.

    Normally I'm frightened of most DT prospects because they are so hard to project. They're lucky to play one guard a year that projects to the NFL. So small school DT are very, very scary.

    College system QBs.
    ...in my opinion

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    Quote Originally Posted by brdempsey69 View Post
    They ain't taking Benjamin and I hope they don't take any QB.
    If they take Benjamin, Lord help us all.

    I really don't see a WR in the 1st round at all. Maybe, Dorsey's history with Green Bay wouldn't suggest that he probably won't. They always did a great job of plucking out solid WRs in the later rounds. If the player is right, I'm sure he wouldn't pass him up, but I'm guessing they address OL, DL, or QB.
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    The only way I can see drafting KJ is if he drops to the fourth or fifth round. Period.

    TR makes a really valid point about draft picks not even seeing the field if they're drafted solely on BPA.

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