I agree with most of your points. I think the offense is going to be better or as good as it was the last half of the season. Some people forget how many points we put up WITHOUT JC in the lineup against Indy. That says a lot for the development of the passing game and the offense as a whole. My biggest question is which defense shows up. The banged up defense that was giving up 30-40 points against good competition and couldn't get to the QB, or the one that shut down all the teams at the beginning of the season.
If we see the good defense, I expect 9-10 wins and competing for a wildcard spot. If we see the exposed d that cannot get to the QB, I expect 6-7 wins and a top 15 pick next spring. I'm really hoping for the good defense.