I've had some time to ponder this decision and do some research so I thought I'd offer my opinions about Mahomes and moving up to get him. I don't follow the college game so I never have any specific opinions about prospects before the draft.
#1) I don't think we overpaid to move up 17 slots in the draft. Especially not if our pick next year turns out to be somewhere between #20 and #32. Since I think that is likely I'm OK with what we paid to get the right to pick him.
#2) He's got a HUGE ARM. I'm surprised NASA isn't talking to him about putting satellites into orbit. I've been watching football for about 50 years and while I'm sure there have been QBs that had bigger arms none are coming to mind at the moment. This kid has an ICBM for an arm.
#3) He's ACCURATE at almost any distance and he doesn't throw "floaters". He does make some terrible mistakes but I'll address that later.
#4) He's not afraid to take off with the ball if he doesn't see anyone to throw it to. I don't want any QB to make a habit of it but sometimes it can really pay off. He needs to learn some judgement. He's no good to anyone if he's on IR from a hit while running. But I DO like a QB that is willing to run when he's got no open targets and thinks he can get a 1st down (or close) with his legs. There are times to take off with the ball and there are times to just throw it out of bounds. That takes JUDGEMENT in a split second.
#5) He's green as hell. He doesn't come from an NFL style offense. He has a LOT of learning to do.
#6) Some of the plays I have seen him make showed TERRIBLE judgement. Throwing into double and triple coverage where the defenders were ALL OVER the receiver. But I am going to cut him a little slack on that. The team he played for gave up an average of over 44 points per game! That's OVER 6 TDs per game!!! If you are the QB on a team like that you MUST go on to the field ON EVERY POSSESSION the same way an NFL QB goes on to the field with 58 seconds left, no timeouts and down by 4. Poor kid went onto the field on every possession with the attitude that if he didn't throw a touchdown the game was over and they would lose. That is a SURE RECIPE for A LOT of bad judgement choices on when to throw and when not to throw.
#7) So what we have is a QB that could be HISTORICALLY GOOD. He could also be historically bad. It will all depend on if our coaching staff can transform him from what he was in college to what he NEEDS TO BE in the NFL. And if he is WILLING to accept what he is being taught. A LOT of players coming out of college think they already know it all.
Summary...Reid and Dorsey have made a statement that we now have our QBOTF and they paid a fairly hefty price for the guy they wanted. And it's a MAJOR GAMBLE. They are gambling that Mahomes has the character to accept the coaching he needs to make the transition from Texas Tech to the NFL. They have also gambled that our coaching staff has the ability to give Mahomes the training he needs to make that transition. IMO Reid and Dorsey have both staked their jobs with the Chiefs on Mahomes. I can't help but admire the confidence that takes. The "Mahomes Era" will start in 2018 or 2019 and I hope it is the start of a 10-15 year "HOMEGROWN" DYNASTY!!!
Bookmarks