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Thread: ***Chiefs vs Bills: Official Week 14 Game Day Thread***

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    Default ***Chiefs vs Bills: Official Week 14 Game Day Thread***



    Bills, Bills, Bills...
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    The Kansas City
    Chiefs

    8-4
    4-2 Home
    vs The Buffalo
    Bills

    6-6
    1-4 Away

    Sunday, December 10th, 3:25 PM CT
    at
    Arrowhead Stadium

    Kansas City Missouri


    Television coverage:


    CBS


    Kansas City



    Topeka


    Coverage Map


    Watch Online:

    Streams will be updated before kickoff.

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    Other Streams
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    Before watching any streams please READ THIS important message.

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    Stats & Stuff

    Weather forecast:
    Mostly Cloudy, 7mph N Wind

    Line: Chiefs -1.5, Over/Under: 48.5

    Trends:
    Chiefs:
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Kansas City's last 8 games.
    Kansas City are 16-4 SU in their last 20 games.
    The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Kansas City's last 20 games against Buffalo.
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Kansas City's last 8 games at home.
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas City's last 7 games when playing at home against Buffalo.
    Kansas City are 12-1 SU in their last 13 games against an opponent in the American Football Conference conference.
    Kansas City are 9-2 SU in their last 11 games against an opponent in the American Football Conference East division.
    Kansas City are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games played in December.
    Kansas City are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games played on a Sunday.

    Bills:
    Buffalo are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games.
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games.
    Buffalo are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games.
    Buffalo are 3-6 ATS in their last 9 games against Kansas City.
    Buffalo are 3-6 SU in their last 9 games against Kansas City.
    Buffalo are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on the road.
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 7 games when playing on the road against Kansas City.
    Buffalo are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against an opponent in the American Football Conference conference.
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 7 games against an opponent in the American Football Conference West division.
    Buffalo are 6-0 SU in their last 6 games played in December.

    Against the Spread:



    Last 10 Games Head-2-Head:



    Notable Quotables:
    Chiefs:
    "I've been on a team that was 6-4 and ended up winning the Super Bowl. We have confidence every week that we’re going to find a way to win. Obviously, these last few weeks we’ve lost a couple, but we still have that mindset."
    --Chiefs Quarterback Patrick Mahomes

    Bills:
    "We have to have a somewhat playoff mentality going forward, and that's not going to guarantee us to win all the games. But we can't reach our goal if we don't play, work, practice, come together with a sense of urgency.”
    --Bills Center Mitch Morse

    OddsShark Super Computer Prediction:

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  4. #4
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    Schedules/Results:

    Thursday
    Sep. 7
    DET Lions
    Arrowhead Stadium
    Kansas City, MO
    8:20pm ET
    NBC
    L 21-20
    Sunday
    Sep. 17
    at JAX Jaguars
    TIAA Bank Field
    Jacksonville, FL
    1:00pm ET
    CBS
    W 17-9
    Sunday
    Sep. 24
    CHI Bears
    Arrowhead
    Kansas City, MO
    4:25pm ET
    FOX
    W 41-10
    Sunday
    Oct. 1
    at NY Jets
    MetLife Stadium
    E Rutherford, NJ
    8:20pm ET
    NBC
    W 23-20
    Sunday
    Oct. 8
    at MIN Vikings
    US Bank Stadium
    Minneapolis, MN
    4:25pm ET
    CBS
    W 27-20
    Thursday
    Oct. 12
    DEN Broncos
    Arrowhead
    Kansas City, MO
    8:15pm ET
    Prime
    W 19-8
    Sunday
    Oct. 22
    LA Chargers
    Arrowhead
    Kansas City, MO
    4:25pm ET
    CBS
    W 31-17
    Sunday
    Oct. 29
    at DEN Broncos
    Mile High Stdm
    Denver, CO
    4:25pm ET
    CBS
    L 24-9
    Sunday
    Nov. 5
    Miami Dolphins
    Frankfurt Stdm
    Frankfurt, Ger
    9:30am ET
    NFLN
    W 24-14
    Sunday
    Nov. 12
    .
    BYE
    .
    Monday
    Nov. 20
    PHI Eagles
    Arrowhead
    Kansas City, MO
    8:15pm ET
    ESPN/ABC
    L 21-17
    Sunday
    Nov. 26
    at Lv Raiders
    Allegiant Stdm
    Las Vegas, NV
    4:25pm ET
    CBS
    W 31-17
    Sunday
    Dec. 3
    at GB Packers
    Lambeau Field
    Green Bay, WI
    8:20pm ET
    NBC
    L 27-19
    Sunday
    Dec. 10
    BUF Bills
    Arrowhead
    Kansas City, MO
    3:25pm CT
    CBS
    Buy
    Tickets
    Monday
    Dec. 18
    at NE Patriots
    Gillette Stadium
    Foxborough, MA
    8:15pm ET
    ESPN/ABC
    Monday
    Dec. 25
    LV Raiders
    Arrowhead
    Kansas City, MO
    1:00pm ET
    CBS
    Sunday
    Dec. 31
    CIN Bengals
    Arrowhead
    Kansas City, MO
    4:25pm ET
    CBS
    Sunday
    Jan. 7
    at LA Chargers
    SoFi Stadium
    Inglewood, CA
    Time TBA
    or Sat.,
    Jan. 6
    Monday
    Sep. 11
    at NY Jets
    MetLife Stadium
    E Rutherford, NJ
    8:15pm ET
    ESPN/ABC
    L 22-16
    (OT)
    Sunday
    Sep. 17
    LV Raiders
    Highmark Stadium
    Orchard Park, NY
    1:00pm ET
    CBS
    W 38-10
    Sunday
    Sep. 24
    at WAS Cmndrs
    FedEx Field
    Landover, MD
    1:00pm ET
    CBS
    W 37-3
    Sunday
    Oct. 1
    MIA Dolphins
    Highmark Stadium
    Orchard Park, NY
    1:00pm ET
    CBS
    W 48-20
    Sunday
    Oct. 8
    JAX Jaguars
    Ttnhm Htspr Stdm
    London, England
    9:30am ET
    NFLN
    L 25-20
    Sunday
    Oct. 15
    NY Giants
    Highmark Stadium
    Orchard Park, NY
    8:20pm ET
    NBC
    W 14-9
    Sunday
    Oct. 22
    at NE Patriots
    Gillette Stadium
    Foxborough, MA
    1:00pm ET
    CBS
    L 29-25
    Thursday
    Oct. 26
    TB Bucs
    Highmark Stadium
    Orchard Park, NY
    8:15pm ET
    Prime
    W 24-18
    Sunday
    Nov. 5
    at CIN Bengals
    Paycor Stadium
    Cincinnati, OH
    8:20pm ET
    NBC
    L 24-18
    Monday
    Nov. 13
    DEN Broncos
    Highmark Stadium
    Orchard Park, NY
    8:15pm ET
    ESPN/ABC
    L 24-22
    Sunday
    Nov. 19
    NY Jets
    Highmark Stadium
    Orchard Park, NY
    4:25pm ET
    CBS
    W 32-6
    Sunday
    Nov. 26
    at PHI Eagles
    Lincoln Fin Field
    Philadelphia, PA
    4:25pm ET
    CBS
    L 37-34
    (OT)
    Sunday
    Dec. 3
    .
    BYE
    .
    Sunday
    Dec. 10
    at KC Chiefs
    Arrowhead
    Kansas City, MO
    3:25pm CT
    CBS
    Buy
    Tickets
    Sunday
    Dec. 17
    DAL Cowboys
    Highmark Stadium
    Orchard Park, NY
    4:25pm ET
    FOX
    Saturday
    Dec. 23
    at LA Chargers
    SoFi Stadium
    Inglewood, CA
    8:00pm ET
    Pea****
    Sunday
    Dec. 31
    NE Patriots
    Highmark Stadium
    Orchard Park, NY
    1:00pm ET
    CBS
    Sunday
    Jan. 7
    at MIA Dolphins
    Hard Rock Stdm
    Miami Gardens, FL
    Time TBA
    or Sat.,
    Jan. 6


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  5. #5
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    Injury Report:

    Jerick McKinnon RB Probable Groin
    Nick Bolton LB Probable Wrist
    Donovan Smith T OUT Neck
    Drue Tranquill LB OUT Concussion
    Bryan Cook S OUT Ankle
    Isaih Pacheco RB OUT Shoulder
    Justyn Ross WR OUT Legal problems
    Mecole Hardman WR IR Thumb
    Prince Tega Wanogho T IR Quad

    Taylor Rapp S Probable Neck
    Dane Jackson CB Probable Concussion
    Kaiir Elam CB Questionable Undisclosed
    Dawson Knox TE Questionable Wrist
    Von Miller LB OUT Legal problems
    Tre'Davious White CB OUT for season Achilles
    DaQuan Jones DT IR Pectoral
    Matt Milano LB IR Leg
    Damien Harris RB IR Neck
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    Depth Charts:

    Chiefs
    OFFENSE


    DEFENSE



    Bills
    OFFENSE


    DEFENSE


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    More Stats & More Stuff
    Team Leaders:





    Expert's Picks:



    Prisco's Pick:
    The Bills come off the bye, while the Chiefs come off
    a tough loss to the Packers on the road. The Bills
    need this in the worst way for their playoff hopes,
    while the Chiefs need it for seeding. This will be a
    high-scoring game, which will be won by the Chiefs
    late. It will be a classic.

    Chiefs 34

    Bills 33
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    5 Things to Watch on Sunday | Bills vs. Chiefs
    from Chiefs.com

    Dec 09, 2023 at 07:45 AM
    Matt McMullen
    CHiefs Reporter
    Chiefs.com
    @KCChiefs_Matt

    The Kansas City Chiefs will aim to get back in the win column this Sunday as they host the Buffalo Bills at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium

    Here are five things to keep in mind heading into game day.

    1. Here's a look at the final injury report for both teams.

    The Chiefs will be without tailback Isiah Pacheco (shoulder), linebacker Drue Tranquill (concussion), offensive tackle Donovan Smith (neck) and safety Bryan Cook (ankle) on Sunday due to injury.

    In some good news, linebacker Nick Bolton – who hasn't played since Week 7 due to a wrist injury – has no injury designation and appears good to go.

    As for the Bills, tight end Dawson Knox (wrist) is listed as "Questionable" as the veteran tight end aims to make his first appearance since Week 7. Knox has 15 catches for 102 yards and a touchdown in seven games this year. Cornerback Kaiir Elam (ankle), who also hasn't played since Week 7, is listed as "Questionable" for the game, too.

    2. The Chiefs will aim to get back on track in terms of red zone efficiency.

    Kansas City was limited to a season-low seven "true" possessions last week against Green Bay, and while the Chiefs largely moved the ball effectively throughout the game, Kansas City's red zone touchdown efficiency – at just 50 percent – was magnified due to its limited drives.

    Red zone success has often been the difference between winning and losing for the Chiefs this season, as they've scored touchdowns in the red zone at a 61 percent clip in their wins while doing so at only a 42 percent rate in their losses. That's a difference of 19 percentage points, and while it might seem obvious that a lower rate of efficiency in the red zone would correlate with a team's losses, the Chiefs' 42 percent mark in their defeats is the seventh-lowest figure in the NFL. Essentially, that means that other teams are losing games for other reasons in spite of being successful in the red zone. Buffalo, for example, is scoring touchdowns at a 77.7 percent rate in the red zone in its six losses this year.

    It's all to say that red zone efficiency is one of the keys for Kansas City on Sunday, and for what it's worth, Buffalo owns the league's No. 13 red zone defense at 52.6 percent. The Chiefs have demonstrated that they can be successful in the red zone, going 3-for-4 against Las Vegas as recently as two weeks ago. That area could very well be the difference against Buffalo.

    3. Historically speaking, Buffalo has sparingly blitzed Patrick Mahomes.


    The Bills have 41 sacks this season – the third-most in the NFL – and they've recorded that lofty number without blitzing much, doing so at the 10th-lowest rate in the league (23.2%). They've historically blitzed Chiefs' quarterback Patrick Mahomes at an even lower rate in their five matchups against him, too, tallying just 29 blitzes on a whopping 236 dropbacks.

    Here's a look at Buffalo's blitz rate in each of its five matchups against Mahomes, with the 2020 AFC Championship Game existing as the lone outlier:

    2020 (Week 6): 2 blitzes on 34 dropbacks (6%)

    2020 (AFC Championship Game): 12 blitzes on 39 dropbacks (31%)

    2021 (Week 5): 0 blitzes on 63 dropbacks (0%)

    2021 (Divisional Round): 6 blitzes on 53 dropbacks (11%)

    2022 (Week 6): 9 blitzes on 47 dropbacks (19%)

    It remains to be seen what kind of defensive strategy Buffalo will deploy on Sunday, but if history is any indication, it's likely that the Bills will primarily rely on their four-man rush to generate pressure. If that's the case, it's imperative that Kansas City's offensive line – which has allowed the second-fewest sacks in the NFL (17) – renders it ineffective.

    4. Turnovers (or the lack thereof) have often been the difference for Buffalo this season.

    The Bills are a rather confounding study in that they own a +100 point differential but have only a 6-6 record to show for it. Buffalo is 2-6 in one-score games this year, and in four of those six losses, the Bills either led or tied the score with less than three minutes remaining. It all indicates that Buffalo is a significantly better team than its record may suggest, and turnovers have often been the primarily culprit in those tight defeats.

    In fact, Buffalo is 5-1 this season when it turns the ball over fewer than two times. In games where the Bills record multiple giveaways, however, they're 1-5. Specifically, fifteen of the Bills' 20 giveaways this year have taken place in their own territory, with a league-most six giveaways occurring on the first play of a drive.

    Additionally, it's worth pointing out that Buffalo has zero red zone turnovers this season. That's in stark contrast to last year, when the Bills led the league in that category. In other words, Buffalo isn't turning the ball over much at all when on the move, but far too often, the Bills' drives have ended before they really got started.

    That has been a significant development, because when the Bills protect the ball, they generally find success. Buffalo owns the league's best third-down offense (49.7%) and its second-best red zone offense (67.4%), averaging the fifth-most points-per-game (27.3) of any team.

    With all of that in mind, the turnover battle will be of particular importance on Sunday.

    5. The Bills have been running the football with success this year.

    Buffalo annually features one of the league's top offenses, but this specific group is especially dynamic because of its ability to effectively run the football from the running back position.

    Bills' quarterback Josh Allen has always been a dangerous runner, rushing for more than 2,000 yards over the last three seasons, but while he's on pace for a career-low in rushes this year, the duo of tailbacks James Cook and Latavius Murray has been quite effective.

    Cook, in particular, ranks 10th in the NFL with 731 rushing yards this year, and as a team, the Bills are tallying at least four yards on a league-most 48.5 percent of rushing attempts. In fact, when Cook rushes for 60+ yards this season, Buffalo is 5-1. When he doesn't hit that mark, the Bills are 1-5.
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    Tostitos Inside Scoop
    from Chiefs.com

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    Game Preview
    from The Associated Press


    Bills and Chiefs to meet at Arrowhead with both teams feeling desperate for a win

    By DAVE SKRETTA
    Thu, December 7, 2023 at 3:59 PM CST


    KANSAS CITY, Mo. (AP) — The Bills and Chiefs are accustomed to playing each other with the NFL spotlight shining squarely upon them.

    There was that AFC championship game a few of years ago, when Buffalo quarterback Josh Allen and Kansas City counterpart Patrick Mahomes went toe-to-toe for four quarters. And the divisional playoff game the following season, when Mahomes needed a mere 13 seconds to march his team into range for a tying field goal, then led the Chiefs to victory in overtime.

    Even their games the past two Octobers have been must-see TV featuring two of the league's best teams.

    Yet there is a different feel surrounding the Bills' return to Arrowhead Stadium on Sunday.


    Buffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen gets sacked by Philadelphia Eagles defensive end Brandon Graham during the first half of an NFL football game Sunday, Nov. 26, 2023, in Philadelphia. (AP Photo/Matt Rourke)ASSOCIATED PRESS

    Buffalo is muddling along at 6-6 and outside the current playoff picture, the first time since Allen's rookie season in 2018 that the Bills were .500 or worse at this point in the season. And the Chiefs have lost three of their last five games, falling to 8-4 and suddenly looking up at Baltimore and Miami in the AFC standings.

    “We understand what’s in front of us and what situation we’re in,” Allen said , “but we've got a lot of guys in this locker room that are very excited to be back, and we have a very good feeling in this locker room right now for what we need to do.”

    The Bills are in their current predicament largely because of their inability to win close games. Each of their losses have been by six points or fewer, including four losses in the six games they played before getting last week off.

    With Dallas and Miami still on the schedule, their path back to the playoffs won't be an easy one.


    A Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes pass is defended by the Green Bay Packers in the end zone during the second half of an NFL football game Sunday, Dec. 3, 2023 in Green Bay, Wis. (AP Photo/Mike Roemer)ASSOCIATED PRESS

    “We have to have a somewhat playoff mentality going forward,” Bills center Mitch Morse said, “and that's not going to guarantee us to win all the games. But we can't reach our goal if we don't play, work, practice, come together with a sense of urgency.”

    The Chiefs have a similar sense of urgency coming off their loss last Sunday in Green Bay. They squandered control of their own destiny when it came to the No. 1 seed in the playoffs, and the AFC's lone first-round bye, with the lackluster 27-19 defeat.

    “I've been on a team that was 6-4 and ended up winning the Super Bowl,” Mahomes said. “We have confidence every week that we’re going to find a way to win. Obviously, these last few weeks we’ve lost a couple, but we still have that mindset.”


    Buffalo Bills running back James Cook is tackled by Philadelphia Eagles linebacker Zach Cunningham during the first half of an NFL football game Sunday, Nov. 26, 2023, in Philadelphia. (AP Photo/Matt Slocum)ASSOCIATED PRESS

    Unlike the Bills, though, the Chiefs do not face anyone with a winning record the rest of the regular season.

    “We can’t lose three out of four, or three out of five. It’s a critical situation,” Chiefs defensive tackle Chris Jones said, "especially where we’re trying to be in the next few weeks. We have to correct the errors, and we have to correct them fast.”

    Continued in next post~~~
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