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Thread: What are the stats concerning 4th down conversions?

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    Default What are the stats concerning 4th down conversions?


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    What percentage of plays on 4th down result in a first down for offenses?
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    I'm not sure. But I think the success rate is higher on 4th and short (like inches, 1 yard, 2 yards) than it is for 4th and long (like 10 or 15 yards). Heh!

    It SEEMS like 4th and short works about 40-50% of the time and 4th and long (when they have no choice to go for it because of the little time remaining) works less than 20% of the time.

    So maybe about one third of the time overall. Total supposition on my part, though!

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    Oh but wait, I found an article from October 2004 that said this:

    "The NFL's 32 teams have converted 70 of 128 fourth-down tries (55%) vs. 53 of 116 (46%) in the same period last season."

    Guess it could very well be at or near 50% then.

    How about how often is the on sides kick successful? That would seem like only about 10%.

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    And just found a stat on the on side kick too: "23% of onside kicks were successful (12 out of 52)." Again, that's just in a small period of time. But maybe the overall % is still a bit higher than I surmised at 10%.

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    Seems like catching Defenses off guard would raise that On Sides kick a bit!

    Coaches should use it more often!
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    A few years ago Andy Reid of the Eagles tried that play on the opening kickoff against Dallas and it worked, so there indeed is a case in point.

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    Dallas v fubbalo on Monday nite the year!! Greatest onside kick EVER!!
    The only reason a beer sweats around Canada is because he's decided it will be the next beer he drinks.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Canada View Post
    Dallas v fubbalo on Monday nite the year!! Greatest onside kick EVER!!
    Found it; here it is:

    [ame="http://youtube.com/watch?v=BK8b8fsMiNw"]YouTube - Unbelieveable Comeback[/ame]

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    My wife loved reliving that!! Thanks!! I am getting in trouble, but I gotta go to wok now so it is OK
    The only reason a beer sweats around Canada is because he's decided it will be the next beer he drinks.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Canada View Post
    My wife loved reliving that!! Thanks!! I am getting in trouble, but I gotta go to wok now so it is OK
    That's great that your gal is a football gal!

    And I guess you're having Chinese food for dinner, mmmmm! (since you have to go to wok, heh!)

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