What percentage of plays on 4th down result in a first down for offenses?
What percentage of plays on 4th down result in a first down for offenses?
I'm not sure. But I think the success rate is higher on 4th and short (like inches, 1 yard, 2 yards) than it is for 4th and long (like 10 or 15 yards). Heh!
It SEEMS like 4th and short works about 40-50% of the time and 4th and long (when they have no choice to go for it because of the little time remaining) works less than 20% of the time.
So maybe about one third of the time overall. Total supposition on my part, though!
Oh but wait, I found an article from October 2004 that said this:
"The NFL's 32 teams have converted 70 of 128 fourth-down tries (55%) vs. 53 of 116 (46%) in the same period last season."
Guess it could very well be at or near 50% then.
How about how often is the on sides kick successful? That would seem like only about 10%.
And just found a stat on the on side kick too: "23% of onside kicks were successful (12 out of 52)." Again, that's just in a small period of time. But maybe the overall % is still a bit higher than I surmised at 10%.
Seems like catching Defenses off guard would raise that On Sides kick a bit!
Coaches should use it more often!
A few years ago Andy Reid of the Eagles tried that play on the opening kickoff against Dallas and it worked, so there indeed is a case in point.
Dallas v fubbalo on Monday nite the year!! Greatest onside kick EVER!!
The only reason a beer sweats around Canada is because he's decided it will be the next beer he drinks.
My wife loved reliving that!! Thanks!! I am getting in trouble, but I gotta go to wok now so it is OK
The only reason a beer sweats around Canada is because he's decided it will be the next beer he drinks.
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