Originally Posted by
texaschief
You can pretty much guess with the Chiefs remaining schedule:
@Denver
San Diego
Miami
@Cincinatti
that the Chiefs will probably win AT LEAST one more game @Cincinatti. You hope they could get one more at home, but with San Diego fighting for a playoff spot after the rout of Oakland thursday and with Miami fighting for a playoff spot as well, neither of those games look winnable. It would be nice to sweep Denver, but they too are fighting for a playoff spot at home.
So, with that said, the Chiefs will probably go into the draft 3-13.
What sucks about that is that there are SO many awful teams this year and that horrible record will probably land us 5th or 6th in the draft.
When you look at Detroit's schedule:
Vikings, Colts, Saints and Packers
They're not gonna win another game and go down in history as historically THE WORST team EVER in a single season and will ALWAYS be at the very least, tied for that distinction. 0-16
The Bengals' schedule is favorable for a couple wins at the end of the season:
Colts, Redskins, Browns, Chiefs
They could end up 3-12-1 if they can knock off the Browns and Chiefs. I bet they get one of them and if it happens to be the Chiefs, they'd win the tie-breaker which slides them past the Chiefs. I think they'll end up 2-13-1 with a win over the QBless Browns.
The Rams have a favorable schedule to put a couple more in the win column as well.
Cardinals, Seahawks, 49ers and Falcons
Actually, never mind. They might give the Seahawks a game, but I think the Hawks are better. The 49ers are playing a little better now and the Falcons and Cards are playoff bound. They'll sit at 2-14.
The Seahawks' schedule sets up for a couple wins at the end of the season also:
Pats, Rams, Jets and Cards
Well, it sets up for one win anyway.
3-13
Oakland's schedule MIGHT get them one more win:
Patriots, Texans, Buccaneers
But i doubt it. I think the Texans' defense is too much for Oakland.
3-13 (not sure who gets the tie-breaker with KC)
Ultimately, we're looking at a draft order:
Lions 0-16
Rams 2-14
Bengals 2-13-1
Seahawks 3-13 (coin flip)
Raiders 3-13 (coin flip)
Chiefs 3-13 (coin flip)
The Chiefs will have beat the Bengals to get to 3-13 which drops the Chiefs and everyone else below them. Then the Raiders split with the Chiefs in head to head. Not sure if common opponents comes into play, but if it did, the Raiders would slide past the Chiefs into 6th because they beat the Broncos AND the Jets. The Chiefs' only other victory would be against the Bengals and they wouldn't factor in.
The Raiders and the Seahawks have one common opponent in the Jets. The Raiders have beat them and I predict the Seahawks will lose to them in a couple weeks. That would put Oakland in 6th definitively.
Now it comes down to the Seahawks and Chiefs. There are no common opponents which I THINK turns the pick into a coin flip for the 4th & 5th spot. The Chiefs lost the coin flip last season, they're due. lol
That puts the Chiefs at #4.
Who do we take assuming:
QB Mathew Stafford
OT Michael Oher
OT Andre Smith
...are taken ahead of us?
The two best DEs in the draft are:
Brian Orakpo
Michael Johnson
The 2nd and 3rd best QBs are:
Bradford (soph)
McCoy (Junior)
The best WR is obviously Crabtree
The best OLBs are:
Aaron Curry
Brian Cushing
The best MLBs are:
James Laurinaitis
Rey Maualuga
The CBs are:
Malcom Jenkins
Vontae Davis
The 3rd and 4th best OTs are:
Eugene Monroe
Jason Smith
The best OGs are:
Duke Robinson
Herman Johnson
**************************
In my opinion, unless the Chiefs take Michael Crabtree at #4, the Chiefs will be reaching for any other player. I think Crabtree would represent the greatest value at the 4th pick. The problem the Chiefs will have is do they draft the best player available or draft for need.
I'd prefer they trade down and grab a DE or LB assuming they don't fill those needs or there isn't a team behind them in desperate need of a DE or LB (depending on who we want).
We need to fill one LB spot in free agency. I think there will be enough talent at LB in this draft to be able to grab one in the 2nd. So, the first pick should go DE with Johnson or Orakpo.
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