Originally Posted by
jmlamerson
1. The clock doesn't run as fast. As Big Daddy Tek wrote, the emphasis on the pass causes the TOP to favor the other team. There's a reason that the no-huddle Bills of the 90s never won the SB - they couldn't control the clock in the big game.
Likewise, when the Chiefs throw, throw, throw and our running game isn't a serious threat, the TOP will almost always favor the other team. Teams running the spread don't usually have long, time-consuming drives. This puts their defenses out there longer, which tires them out. Especially smaller defenses like ours.
2. Of course most HCs not named Herm are continually adapting. But defenses were not used to our spread offense, and it caught them by surprise most games at its effectiveness. Once they figured it out, they made the necessary halftime adjustments, and its effectiveness went way down.
Look at the Chiefs effectiveness in the 2nd half as compared to the first this season under the spread. Teams made the necessary halftime adjustments and were able to whoop us in the second half of games. The NE teams were just too talented to fall off in the 2d half, until . . .
3. The Pats lost in the SB specifically because the Giants were able to control the clock and bring pressure on defense. The Giants put on a clinic of how to stop a spread offense (just like the Pats did against the pass heavy offense of the Rams in 2001). Despite the fact that NE had the most talented team perhaps in NFL history, they got beat by a mediocre Giants team because the Giants were able to control the clock.
A team with a good front four and a good running game will almost always defeat a team running the spread, no matter the talent level of the team running the spread. And it isn't exactly like we're getting Welker, Moss, Brady, Faulk, and that OL any time soon.
Look at the past few SB winners. The Giants played ball control. The 2007 Colts, usually a pass heavy team, moved to a ball control offense for the playoffs. The Steelers and Pats dynasty teams weren't spread teams (they had big, bruising backs in Smith and Dillon to eat clock). The 2002 Bucs were a ball control team. As were the 2000 Ravens. As were the 97-98 Broncos. In fact, the only exception I can think of to this rule is the 99' Rams, and they were a much better running team than people remember.
We will never win playoff games in a spread offense.
Bookmarks