Was it Dorsey or Reid that said (paraphrasing) he believes it is a good idea to draft a QB every two or three years, regardless of need?
Bears HC Mark Trestman recently observed that since Tom Brady was drafted, NO QB taken in round 3 or later has become a long term quality starter. In other words, any QB taken after round 2 is a wasted pick. If the Chiefs are serious about drafting a QB they would HAVE to do it in the first round. I would hate that. With Smith locked in for 2014 and no R2 pick, we have too many needs to do that.
I think starting the rumour is a good idea though, for 2 reasons. It puts added pressure on Smith's agent to reach a deal and it may encourage some other teams to trade up and give us some extra picks.
Here is the problem. Smith's agent is known for wanting unreasonable deals. Alex may not be worth $15-18 million, but if no deal is reached and he walks, he can probably get that in FA, especially if he has a good year this year. If that happens and the Chiefs DON'T take a QB this year, they will have to gamble on Daniels, Bray and whoever is available when they draft next year.
I would still prefer to take that gamble rather than take a QB with our first pick this year. With the tougher schedule this season, it is possible that Smith won't have as good a year as he did last season and we can get him cheaper at the end of this season than we can right now. We would also have more picks, higher picks, and probably better QB candidates to choose from. Tyler would have another year to develop and could possibly be our starter in 2015 if we can't sign Smith.
By playing hardball, the Chiefs are gambling that they can get Smith at a bargain price and won't lose him. Smith's agent is gambling that his value won't go down if he doesn't make a deal. The Chiefs hold most of the high cards in this gambit. At the very worst, they can draft a QB of the future next May and, if they have to, franchise Smith for one year. Alex stands to possibly lose a lot of money if he doesn't reach a deal soon when his value is at it's highest.
I love Alex and think he is a better QB than most give him credit for. I would be willing to give him $15 or 16 Million per year for an additional 2 or 3 years, but not much more than that. Unfortunately, I don't think that would be enough to keep him.
Last edited by TopekaRoy; 05-06-2014 at 09:13 PM.
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