Originally Posted by
figcrostic
They are rated the second worst by YARDS, by points given up which is all that matters they are 15th the broncos are 22nd on points and on yards so it's likely we will score more points on denver then green bay.
Originally Posted by
azchiefsfan
Ok, that's a weak attempt to explain it away.
I thought it was an excellent attempt. I was going to make the same argument until I read fig's post. You say we will score fewer points against the Broncos and he shows you that the Broncos allow more points per game than the Packers do. It's completely illogical to think we will score fewer points against a team that allows more ppg.
Originally Posted by
azchiefsfan
Let's try this then: 21.2 PPG. That's the average points dropped on a bad GB defense. 19 pts: that's how many points we scored against that bad defense. We won by defense.
Agreed. So let's jump to the other side of the ball and look at our defense, pursuing your line of reasoning to it's logical conclusion.
Going into last Sunday's game the Packers averaged 35.8 ppg (It's 34.2 now and still #1 in the NFL.) We held their offense to 14 points or 39% of their average. The Broncos average 20.9 ppg (20th in the NFL). 39% of that would be 8.15 points!
Since we scored 19 against the Packers, which is 90% of their average, then 90% of the broncos average points allowed (24.5 ppg) then we should score 22.4 points.
I'll concede the fact that the Packers were without their favorite WR (Jennings) and RB (Starks) and assume that Rodgers had an off day. Given that Orton was playing in his first game and will have 2 more weeks of practice and time for his dislocated finger to heal, and also given that the Broncos defense will be fired up after losing badly to the Patriots and trying to make the playoffs, I think this is a perfectly logical, reasonable prediction:
Chiefs 20
Broncos 13
Originally Posted by
azchiefsfan
But hey, let's all believe in unicorns and ride a rainbow. We will crush the Donks 72-3. Might as well make it a great fantasy if we're going to lie to ourselves.
Last edited by TopekaRoy; 12-22-2011 at 08:36 PM.
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